Loss Prevention Research Council Weekly Series - Episode 86 - 100 Year Old and the Latest 2022 Predictions

With Dr. Read Hayes, Tony D'Onofrio, and Tom Meehan

January 07, 2022

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The Future is now: 100-year-old predictions about 2022

https://www.beaconjournal.com/story/news/2021/12/27/experts-from-1922-made-prophecies-2022-future-predictions-new-york-science-city-of-tomorrow/8972713002/

Happy New Year everyone. This week I want to focus on predictions for this new year. 

Nearly 100 years ago, a group of deep thinkers dared to ponder what life would be like in 2022. Some of their predictions fell amusingly short, but others have proved to be eerily accurate. From the Akron Beacon Journal, here are a few predictions that were on that list in 1922.

• Flying will have become entirely commonplace. The passenger steamer will survive on the coasts, but it will have disappeared on the main routes, and will have been replaced by flying convoys, which should cover the distance between London and New York in about 12 hours
• The people of the year 2022 will probably never see a wire outlined against the sky: it is practically certain that wireless telegraphy and wireless telephones will have crushed the cable system long before the century is done
• Coal will not be exhausted, but our reserves will be seriously depleted, and so will those of oil. One of the world dangers a century hence will be a shortage of fuel, but it is likely that by that time a great deal of power will be obtained from tides, from the sun, probably from radium and other forms of radial energy, while it may also be that atomic energy will be harnessed.
• The movies will be more attractive, as long before 2022 they will have been replaced by the kinephone, which now exists only in the laboratory. That is the figures on the screen will not only move, but they will have their natural colors and speak with ordinary voices
• Most of the cleaning required today in a house will have been done away with. In the first place, through the disappearance of coal in all places where electricity is not made there will be no more smoke, perhaps not even that of tobacco
• In 2022 a complete meal may be taken in the shape of four pills. 
• Americans will be less enterprising and much more pleasure loving. They will have rebelled against long hours; the chances are that in 2022 few people will work more than seven hours a day, if as much
• Rolling sidewalks operated by electromagnetic power would connect buildings
• Canals would replace streets, providing a place for bathing, canoeing and power boating.
• Trains would travel on glass plates and reach speeds of 200 mph
• Anti-gravity screens would prevent airplanes from falling out of the sky
• Almost anybody able to pay the rent will own an automobile — cars will be that common
• The suburbs will extend as far away as 100 miles from the center of the city

Looking forward: Some Predictions for 2022

https://blog.cloudflare.com/predictions-for-2022/

Coming back to the present, here is a list of 2022 predictions from Cloudflare:

1. Adapting to a 5G World - 5G technology is real, and the promise for end-users is vastly more wireless bandwidth and lower network latency. The trend of flexible work will also likely increase the adoption of 5G mobile and fixed wireless broadband. Companies will also invest heavily in 5G to deliver better experiences for their employees and customers.
2. Talent is out there; it’s just not evenly distributed - Work has changed profoundlydue to the global pandemic over the last two years. People are now searching, applying, interviewing, onboarding, and working entirely remotely. In 2022, technology and tools will increasingly tip the balance in the talent war, and companies will look for every technological advantage to attract the talent they need.
3. Cloud simply increases - Companies will continue to adopt the cloud quickly, but IT leaders will expect cloud services to simplify instead of adding more complexity.
4. Security is only getting more complicated. Companies must embrace zero trust - In 2022, CIOs and CISOs will increasingly evaluate (or reevaluate) technologies and practices in their security toolkit through the lens of zero trust. The security-as-a-service model will tend to win for the same reasons I predicted more cloud. Namely, solving security problems as simply as possible with the fewest headcount required.
5. The corporate network or WAN is dead. Long live the (Internet-based) corporate network.
6. Matters of privacy - In 2022 and beyond, companies will architect applications with privacy laws in mind from the outset.

Global Predictions 2022

https://www.ipsos.com/en/global-predictions-2022

From Ipsos, here is their list of 2022 predictions from a survey of 33 countries:

• On COVID-19 - Most expect greater COVID vaccination rates around the world, half (47%) expect a new deadly strain of the virus to appear. More than half of people (56%) believe that more than 80% of the world’s population will receive at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine in 2022.
• On the Environment - Most people around the world believe in 2022 we will see more climate change consequences, with 60% saying is likely there will be more extreme weather events in their country in 2022 than there were in 2021. 45% expect to see people flying less than they did in 2019.
• On economics - A clear majority (75%) expect prices in their countries to increase faster than incomes. Globally, people have greater expectations for stock market stability in 2022 than they did in 2021, when 40% said major stock markets around the world were likely to crash.
• On society - 71% anticipate seeing city centers in their countries to become busy again as people get back to working in offices on a regular basis. 71% anticipate seeing city centers in their countries to become busy again as people get back to working in offices on a regular basis. 
• On technology - Over half (57%) say it is likely many more people will live their lives in a virtual world. Four in ten (38%) think it is likely that strict rules for large technology companies will be introduced by the Government in their country, and 83% think social media companies have too much power.
• On global threats - Four in ten expect a natural disaster to hit a major city in their country.  Four in 10 (38%) say it is likely hackers from a foreign government will cause a global IT shutdown. One in three (34%) globally think is likely that nuclear weapons will be used in a conflict somewhere in the world.
• On the outlook for 2022 - Three quarters (77%) expect a better year in 2022. Three in five around the world agree the global economy will be stronger next year.

Happy New Years from the LPRC Podcast Team! A Patient in UK has both Flu and Covid! In this week’s episode, our co-hosts discuss predictions for 2022 made 100 years ago, Omicron variant is 4x as likely to spread, LPRC Kickoff is January 19th in NYC, and a some up to date predictions for 2022. Listen in to stay updated on hot topics in the industry and more!